After a pretty solid week of NBA Playoff betting, going 17-6 on the week and also winning the Tallysight award for Most Reach, we’re sitting at just 7-7 this week. Learning Joel Embiid was coming back hours after we had locked our pick certainly didn’t help, but we’ll try to get back on track today.

Below I’ll take you through today’s entire schedule, the betting odds for each game, and some stats and picks that we think should help you not only prepare to enjoy the game but also think about which way you want to want to bet the game if that’s something you want to do.

New to betting? Read our Beginner’s Guide to Betting with a glossary of terms

NBA Odds and Schedule, May 7

#2 Boston Celtics (51-31) @ #3 Milwaukee Bucks, 7:30 p.m. ET

Milwaukee leads the series 2-1

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Even without Khris Middleton, the Bucks held on to beat the Celtics 103- 101 in Game 3 behind 42 points, 12 rebounds, and eight assists from Giannis Antetokounmpo.

We mentioned after Game 2 that the Celtics’ hot shooting was a clear reason for their big win. Well, their shooting went cold again in Game 3, hitting just 36.8% from the field and 27.3% from beyond the arc. Jayson Tatum was also 0-6 from three, 4-19 from the field, and scored just ten points. The Celtics are gonna find it hard to win if he shoots that poorly again.

On the season, Boston is the 5th-best team in the NBA against the spread at 48-38-3, while Milwaukee is middle-of-the-pack at 43-47, which is 18th. At home, Milwaukee is actually worse, going 17-28 ATS (27th), while Boston is the second-best team in the NBA on the road at 28-15-1 ATS as the road team.

Both teams are middle of the pack when it comes to the Over/Under. Boston is currently sitting at 43-43-1 (15th) while Milwaukee is 43-45 (18th). However, in the playoffs, Milwaukee has gone under in all eight of their games, while Boston has gone under in five of their seven games.

Boston also has the best percentage ATS in the playoffs, going 5-2, while Milwaukee has gone 4-4.

For a more detailed breakdown, Click here to read the full series preview

THE PICK:

#2 Memphis Grizzlies (56-26) @ #3 Golden State Warriors (53-29), 10:00 p.m. ET

Warriors lead series 2-1

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Obviously, the big story here is that the Grizzlies figure to be without star Ja Morant, which is just a massive blow to their hopes in this game. The Grizzlies have also been critical of Jordan Poole’s allegedly inadvertent grab of Morant’s knee while attempting a steal, and this heated series has only gotten more intense.

The Grizzlies had to play without Morant for 25 games this season, so they are not unfamiliar with the situation they find themselves in. In fact, the Grizzlies are 20-5 without Morant this season, averaging 117.8 points per game. Of course, that task will be much tougher against a Warriors team that seems to be on a mission.

On the season, Memphis is the best team in the NBA against the spread, going 57-33-1, while the Warriors are 45-41-4 ATS (13th). The Warriors are particularly tough at home, going 26-17 ATS (3rd), while Memphis has also been good on the road, going 27-17-1 ATS (3rd). Memphis is also just 11-9-1 ATS as a road underdog (25th) and 10-11 straight up in that situation.

Memphis is better at hitting the over, coming in at 46-41-4 in the O/U, good for 9th, while the Warriors rely on their defense and are 41-47-2 (25th). Those trends have actually reversed in the playoffs as Golden State is 6-2 in the O/U but Memphis is 4-5.

For a more detailed breakdown, Click here to read the full series preview

THE PICK: