2022 NBA Playoffs Daily Betting Guide: Odds, Schedule, Picks: May 11

NBA: Playoffs-Memphis Grizzlies at Golden State Warriors
May 9, 2022; San Francisco, California, USA; Memphis Grizzlies forward Jaren Jackson Jr. (13) blocks the shot attempt by Golden State Warriors guard Jordan Poole (3) during the first half of game four of the second round for the 2022 NBA playoffs at Chase Center. Mandatory Credit: Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports TPX IMAGES OF THE DAY

We’re 4-4 to start the NBA week, so tonight we’ll try to kick it up a notch.

Below I’ll take you through today’s entire schedule, the betting odds for each game, and some stats and picks that we think should help you not only prepare to enjoy the game but also think about which way you want to want to bet the game if that’s something you want to do.

New to betting? Read our Beginner’s Guide to Betting with a glossary of terms

NBA Odds and Schedule, May 11

#3 Milwaukee Bucks (51-31) @ #2 Boston Celtics (51-31), 7:00 p.m. ET

Series is tied 2-2

Watch on TNT

The Celtics rode a surprise 30 points game from Al Horford to even the series with Milwaukee 2-2. Horford also chipped in eight rebounds, and Jayson Tatum had 30 points, 13 rebounds, and five assists in the win.

As has been the case all series, Giannis Antetokounmpo was a man on a mission, scoring 34 points with 18 rebounds, and five assists. The Bucks even took advantage of a mismatch down low and got 17 points and seven rebounds out of Brook Lopez.

In truth, this was a well-rounded performance from the Bucks, but they shot just 33.3% from beyond the arc and weren’t able to overcome this Celtics attack. The Celtics have gone to just an eight-man rotation in this series, but with Tatum, Marcus Smart, and Jaylen Brown are all playing up to their true talent, that’s a tall task for Milwaukee to overcome without Khris Middleton.

On the season, Boston is the 5th-best team in the NBA against the spread at 49-38-3, while Milwaukee is middle-of-the-pack at 43-48, which is 21st. At home, Boston is actually worse, going 20-23-2 ATS (19th), while Milwaukee is the better on the road, going 26-19 ATS as the road team (7th)

Both teams are middle of the pack when it comes to the Over/Under. Boston is currently sitting at 43-43-1 (15th) while Milwaukee is 43-45 (18th). However, in the playoffs, Milwaukee has gone under in eight of their nine games, while Boston has gone under in five of their eight games.

Boston also has the best percentage ATS in the playoffs, going 6-2, while Milwaukee has gone 4-5.

For a more detailed breakdown, Click here to read the full series preview

THE PICK: 

#3 Golden State Warriors (56-26) @ #2 Memphis Grizzlies (56-26), 9:30 p.m. ET

Warriors lead series 3-1

Watch on TNT

We knew it would be tough for Memphis to beat Golden State without Ja Morant, but they had a prime opportunity in Game 4 with the Warriors shooting just 24.3% from three and 40% from the field. However, the Grizzlies themselves shot just 25.7% from deep and 41.7% from the floor in a 101-98 loss.

Jaren Jackson Jr. led the Grizzlies with 21 points and Tyus Jones also had 19 points, six rebounds, and five assists. With Ja Morant likely out for the remainder of the series, that’s simply not a potent enough offense to overcome this Warriors team.

On the season, Memphis is the best team in the NBA against the spread, going 58-33-1, while the Warriors are 45-42-4 ATS (13th). The Grizzlies are particularly tough at home, going 30-16 ATS (1st), while the Warriors are not great on the road, going 19-24-2 ATS (25th).

Memphis is better at hitting the over, coming in at 46-42-4 in the O/U, good for 9th, while the Warriors rely on their defense and are 41-48-2 (25th). Those trends have actually reversed in the playoffs as Golden State is 6-3 in the O/U but Memphis is 4-6. The last game without Ja Morant did go under.

The Grizzlies had to play without Morant for 25 games this season, so they are not unfamiliar with the situation they find themselves in. In fact, the Grizzlies are 20-5 without Morant this season, averaging 117.8 points per game. Of course, that task proved to be much tougher against this Warriors team in Game 4, even though Memphis kept the game close.

For a more detailed breakdown, Click here to read the full series preview

THE PICK: 

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