2022 NBA Playoffs Daily Betting Guide: Odds, Schedule, Picks: May 6

APTOPIX Mavericks Suns Basketball
Dallas Mavericks forward Reggie Bullock (25) and Phoenix Suns guard Cameron Payne (15) scramble for a loose ball during the first half of Game 2 in the second round of the NBA Western Conference playoff series Wednesday, May 4, 2022, in Phoenix. (AP Photo/Matt York)

Last week was a pretty solid week of NBA Playoff betting, going 17-6 on the week and also winning the Tallysight award for Most Reach. We’ve gone 7-4 to start this week as we try to keep it rolling.

Below I’ll take you through today’s entire schedule, the betting odds for each game, and some stats and picks that we think should help you not only prepare to enjoy the game but also think about which way you want to want to bet the game if that’s something you want to do.

New to betting? Read our Beginner’s Guide to Betting with a glossary of terms

NBA Odds and Schedule, May 6

#4 Philadelphia 76ers (51-31) @ #1 Miami Heat (53-29), 7:00 p.m. ET

Heat lead the series 2-0

Watch on ESPN

Miami has dominated the series without Joel Embiid in their way, and now we find out that the big man won’t be available for Game 3. That’s a pretty crushing blow as the 76ers lost 106-92 in Game 1 and 119-103 in Game 2 without him.

Tyrese Maxey tried his best to keep the 76ers in Game 2, scoring 34 points on 12-22 shooting, but he didn’t get much help. James Harden went back to playing a bit of Hero Ball for stretches of the game, scoring 20 points on 6-15 shooting although he did dish out nine assists.

Miami held the 76ers to just 26.7% shooting from beyond the arc, while the Heat shot 48.3% themselves. It was a team effort too, as it typically is, with four Miami players scoring 18 or more points, including two players off of the bench (Tyler Herro and Victor Oladipo). Miami just seems to be too well-rounded a team for the banged-up 76ers.

On the season, Miami is the 4th-best team in the NBA against the spread at 51-37-1, while Philadelphia is middle-of-the-pack at 42-47-1, which is 21st. At home, Philadelphia is actually slightly worse, going 19-25 ATS (21st), while Miami is better on the road at 26-16-1 ATS, which is 4th in the NBA.

Miami trended more towards the Over during the season, currently sitting at 49-39-1 (5th) while Philadelphia is 42-46-2 (21st). However, in the playoffs, Miami has gone under in six of their seven games, while Philadelphia has gone under in five of their eight total games. Game 1 of this series also went under, while Game 2 pushed over.

Miami has also gone 5-2 against the spread in the playoffs, while Philadelphia has gone 4-4.

For a more detailed breakdown, Click here to read the full series preview


#4 Dallas Mavericks (52-30) @ #1 Phoenix Suns (64-18), 10:00 p.m. ET

Suns lead the series 2-0

Watch on ESPN

Game 1 was another game between these two teams decided by less than double-digits as the Suns won 121-114. However, Phoenix ramped it up in Game 2, winning 129-109.

Dallas lost Game 1 despite Doncic going for 45 points, and the superstar finished Game 2 with 35 points, seven assists, and five rebounds, but didn’t get much help. The team’s second-leading scorer on the night was Reggie Bullock with 16 points as Jalen Brunson shot just 3-12 from the field en route to nine points, five rebounds, and four assists. That’s simply not going to do it against a team as good as Phoenix.

The good news for Dallas was that they found an answer for Deandre Ayton: foul trouble. The big man played just 18 minutes in Game 2 and finished with just nine points and three rebounds. The bad news is that Chris Paul dissected this Mavericks defense late and finished with 28 points, six rebounds, and eight assists. We mentioned in our series preview that the tactics Dallas used to frustrate Donovan Mitchell and the Jazz likely wouldn’t work against Chris Paul, who is more than happy to operate in the mid-range, and that played out in Game 2.

On the season, Phoenix is 50-40 against the spread (6th), and the Mavericks are an even better 52-36-2 ATS (3rd). Phoenix is better on the road, going 27-17 ATS (5th) as the road team, while Dallas is a strong 25-17-2 ATS at home (3rd).

Phoenix is better at hitting the over, coming in at 47-43 in the O/U, good for 10th, while the Mavericks are dead last in the NBA in the O/U at 35-53-2. Those trends have only partially carried over into the playoffs as Phoenix is 6-2 in the O/U but Dallas is 4-4 as they’ve been playing smaller and faster.

However, both teams have done well ATS, with Phoenix sitting at 6-2 and Dallas at 5-3; although Phoenix has covered both games in this series.

For a more detailed breakdown, Click here to read the full series preview


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