MLB

MLB Odds Today, Schedule, Picks, Props: April 8

MLB: Wildcard-New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox
Oct 5, 2021; Boston, Massachusetts, USA; Boston Red Sox left fielder Alex Verdugo (99) reacts with quality control coach Ramon Vazquez (84) after hitting an RBI double against the New York Yankees during the sixth inning of the American League Wildcard game at Fenway Park. Mandatory Credit: Bob DeChiara-USA TODAY Sports

What a way to end MLB Opening Day, with a walk-off bomb from Seth Beer, which, incidentally, crushed our parlay of the day! But we’re back at it again. Below we’ll take you through today’s entire schedule, the betting odds for each game along with the starting pitchers, and some stats and picks that we think should help you not only prepare to enjoy the game but also think about which way you want to want to bet the game if that’s something you want to do.

Also, we recommend checking the Fangraphs Probables Grid to see the likely starting pitchers from each game with clickable links to get the most in-depth information on each pitcher.

MLB Odds and Schedule, April 8

Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees, 1:05 p.m. ET

  • Run Line: NYY -1.5
  • BOS Moneyline: +145
  • NYY Moneyline: -165
  • Over/Under: 8.5
  • BOS last 10: N/A
  • NYY last 10: N/A
  • BOS Starting Pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi (11 Wins, 3.75 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 9.63 K/9, 5.69 IPS in 2021)
  • NYY Starting Pitcher: Gerrit Cole (16 Wins, 3.23 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 12.06 K/9, 6.03 IPS in 2021)
  • Bullpen ERAs: N/A
  • The pick: Red Sox +1.5
  • Why?: There are some interesting factors at play in this game. For starters, in Cole’s last start, he threw just 64 pitches as he tries to build up arm strength over the shortened spring training. That might mean we’re looking at just 80 pitches from him today. However, the Yankees do have a better bullpen than Boston, which could work in their favor if Eovaldi also isn’t able to go deep in the game. With so much up in the air and two strong offenses on the field, it’s hard to find a clear avenue to attack, which is why I’ll just take the runs with the Red Sox. Expect these two fully rested teams to play a close game, but this might not be the game to bet if you don’t have to (and really, you never HAVE to).

 

Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers, 1:10 p.m. ET

  • Run Line: CWS -1.5
  • CWS Moneyline: -130
  • DET Moneyline: +110
  • Over/Under: 8
  • CWS last 10: N/A
  • DET last 10: N/A
  • CWS Starting Pitcher: Lucas Giolito (11 Wins, 3.53 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 10.13 K/9, 5.75 IPS in 2021)
  • DET Starting Pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez (13 Wins, 4.74 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 10.56 K/9, 5.07 IPS in 2021)
  • Bullpen ERAs: N/A
  • The pick: Eduardo Rodriguez over 4.5 strikeouts
  • Why?: Early season games tend to favor pitching as the hitters work to get their timing down against elite-level live arms. Especially with the shortened spring training, I think we’re going to see some low-scoring games early, which played out yesterday with the exception of St. Louis drubbing Pittsburgh. So, if we pair a slow-starting offensive with a pitcher in Rodriguez who averaged 10.56 K/9 and 11.7% swinging strike rate last year, I think we’re going to get some punchouts. Don’t be fooled by the stats above as the advanced metrics suggest that Rodriguez got really unlikely last year. I expect him to improve across the board this year and that strikeout number is just a bit too low for me.

 

Milwaukee Brewers @ Chicago Cubs, 2:20 p.m. ET

  • Run Line: MIL -1.5
  • MIL Moneyline: -170
  • CHI Moneyline: +150
  • Over/Under: 11
  • MIL last 10: N/A
  • CHI last 10: N/A
  • MIL Starting Pitcher: Brandon Woodruff (9 Wins, 2.56 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, 10.59 K/9, 5.97 IPS in 2021)
  • CHI Starting Pitcher: Justin Steele (4 Wins, 4.26 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 9.32 K/9 in 2021)
  • Bullpen ERAs: N/A
  • The pick: Brewers F5 Moneyline (-175)
  • Why?: We tried this yesterday and while we nailed it with the Mets, the Brewers gave up three runs in the bottom of the 5th inning to spoil our fun. However, we’re gonna go back to the well here. Woodruff is one of the best pitchers in baseball, and Justin Steele is a converted reliever who was moved back and forth between the pen and starting rotation last year. I don’t think he’s going to hold the Brewers’ offense in check the way that Kyle Hendricks did yesterday. Remember, before Hendricks’ awful 2021 season, he had been a really strong pitcher. I think Woodruff looks electric through five, and the Brewers get a couple on Steele early, so I like this bet.

For all of our MLB Betting Guides and News, click here

 

Oakland Athletics @ Philadelphia Phillies, 3:05 p.m. ET

  • Run Line: PHI -1.5
  • OAK Moneyline: +150
  • PHI Moneyline: -170
  • Over/Under: 8
  • OAK last 10: N/A
  • PHI last 10: N/A
  • OAK Starting Pitcher: Frankie Montas (13 Wins, 3.37 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 9.96 K/9, 5.84 IPS in 2021)
  • PHI Starting Pitcher: Aaron Nola (9 Wins, 4.63 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 11.11 K/9, 5.6 IPS in 2021)
  • Bullpen ERAs: N/A
  • The pick: Tony Kemp over 0.5 total bases
  • Why?: The lock of the day might be the Phillies to win this game over an A’s team that is selling off parts. However, Oakland will stay roll out Frankie Montas today, and he remains an incredibly talented pitcher, albeit one with some consistency issues. Nola, on the other hand, has struggled this spring and looked really hittable at times last year. If the Phillies were playing anybody other than the A’s I might suggest the over, but this A’s lineup is just really not good. So we’re going to pick out the most consistent hitter from their lineup and take advantage of the lowered expectations. Kemp hit .279 last year and will hit in leadoff for this A’s lineup. All he needs is one total base against a vulnerable Nola and mediocre Phillies bullpen. I’ll take that gamble.

 

Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays, 3:10 p.m. ET

  • Run Line: TB -1.5
  • BAL Moneyline: +160
  • TB Moneyline: -190
  • Over/Under: 7.5
  • BAL last 10: N/A
  • TB last 10: N/A
  • BAL Starting Pitcher: John Means (6 Wins, 3.62 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 8.22 K/9, 5.62 IPS in 2021)
  • TB Starting Pitcher: Shane McClanahan (10 Wins, 3.43 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 10.29 K/9, 4.92 IPS in 2021)
  • Bullpen ERAs: N/A
  • The pick: Over 7.5 Runs
  • Why?: I like both John Means and Shane McClanahan. In fact, I think McClanahan can be a truly elite starting pitcher in this league. However, as it stands currently, both of them are also prone to giving up loud contact. Both the Orioles and Rays feature lineups that hit left-handed pitching particularly well, and once Means exits the game, the Orioles will have to turn to a bullpen that just traded its two best pieces to Miami. All of which has me feeling like this could be the highest-scoring game on the slate today (well, maybe aside from that Coors game).

 

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Colorado Rockies, 4:10 p.m. ET

  • Run Line: LAD -1.5
  • LAD Moneyline: -210
  • COL Moneyline: +175
  • Over/Under: 11.5
  • LAD last 10: N/A
  • COL last 10: N/A
  • LAD Starting Pitcher: Walker Buehler (16 Wins, 2.47 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, 9.19 K/9, 6.28 IPS in 2021)
  • COL Starting Pitcher: Kyle Freeland (7 Wins, 4.33 ERA, 1.42 WHIP, 7.83 K/9, 5.22 IPS in 2021)
  • Bullpen ERAs: N/A
  • The pick: Trea Turner over 1.5 total bases
  • Why?:  This Dodgers lineup is stacked. We’ve talked about it before, and we’ll likely talk about it all season. Now you’re putting them in Coors against a below-average arm in Freeland? Even if we think offenses will start slow, I expect the Dodgers to put up a crooked number here. Since Turner leads off for them, it’s entirely possible he gets five plate appearances on Friday, and all we need is two total bases from one of the best players in the game. I’ll take that.
Apr 3, 2022; Anaheim, California, USA; Los Angeles Dodgers starting pitcher Walker Buehler (21) pitches during the second inning against the Los Angeles Angels at Angel Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kiyoshi Mio-USA TODAY Sports

 

Seattle Mariners @ Minnesota Twins, 4:10 p.m. ET

  • Run Line: MIN -1.5
  • SEA Moneyline: -105
  • MIN Moneyline: -115
  • Over/Under: 8
  • SEA last 10: N/A
  • MIN last 10: N/A
  • SEA Starting Pitcher: Robbie Ray (13 Wins, 2.84 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 11.54 K/9, 6.03 IPS in 2021)
  • MIN Starting Pitcher: Joe Ryan (4 Wins, 3.41 ERA, 0.79 WHIP, 12.51 K/9, 5.07 IPS in Minors)
  • Bullpen ERAs: N/A
  • The pick: Mariners (+1.5)
  • Why?: I think this Mariners team is pretty damn good. They might not have flashy names in their lineup, but they have a lot of “professional hitters” and guys who will make an opposing pitcher work. Joe Ryan had lots of success in the minors and showed good ability in his few major league starts, enough that I think he’ll be a pretty solid MLB regular, but he doesn’t have overpowering stuff, so he’s still a bit of a risk against this lineup. At the end of the day, I just think Vegas is a bit too low on what the Mariners are capable of.

 

Miami Marlins @ San Francisco Giants, 4:35 p.m. ET

  • Run Line: SF -1.5
  • MIA Moneyline: +120
  • SF Moneyline: -140
  • Over/Under: 7.5
  • MIA last 10: N/A
  • SF last 10: N/A
  • MIA Starting Pitcher: Sandy Alcantara (9 Wins, 3.19 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 8.80 K/9, 6.22 IPS in 2021)
  • SF Starting Pitcher: Logan Webb (11 Wins, 3.03 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 9.59 K/9, 5.69 IPS in 2021)
  • Bullpen ERAs: N/A
  • The pick: Sandy Alcantara under 5.5 strikeouts
  • Why?: Sandy Alcantara has been one of the most discussed players this offseason with many people buying a breakout for the young right-hander. I’m certainly a fan, but I’m not yet convinced we’re going to see that huge strikeout jump. Alcantara’s best pitch is a change-up, and it’s a really good one, but it’s not the best as a strikeout pitch. He has seemed reluctant to use the slider more often in two-strike counts, and this Giants team is full of tough outs, so given the limited pitch count and the potential rust in the first game of the season, I’m happy to take the under on his strikeouts here.
  • If you want another way to bet this game, check out Matty’s Over/Under of the Day for his favorite bet from this showdown:

 

New York Mets @ Washington Nationals, 7:05 p.m. ET

  • Run Line: NYM -1.5
  • NYM Moneyline: -160
  • WAS Moneyline: +140
  • Over/Under: 9
  • NYM last 10: N/A
  • WAS last 10: N/A
  • NYM Starting Pitcher: Max Scherzer (15 Wins, 2.46 ERA, 0.86 WHIP, 11.84 K/9, 5.97 IPS in 2021)
  • WAS Starting Pitcher: Josiah Gray (2 Wins, 5.48 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 9.68 K/9, 5.21 IPS in 2021)
  • Bullpen ERAs: N/A
  • The pick: Mets F5
  • Why?: The first five bet worked for us yesterday, so we’re going to go back to the well again. Scherzer remains one of the best pitchers in baseball, and I’m not expecting the hamstring to be an issue or he wouldn’t be starting today (right?). So we have a pretty large talent discrepancy in starting pitching, which is where we want to attack the First Five bets. I think Gray has the raw stuff to be a good major league pitcher, and he certainly gets his swings and misses, but he also continues to give up hard contact, even in spring, so I think the Mets can scratch a couple out early.
Max Scherzer Mets NL East preview
Max Scherzer/Reinhold Matay-USA TODAY Sports

Texas Rangers @ Toronto Blue Jays, 7:07 p.m. ET

  • Run Line: TOR -1.5
  • TEX Moneyline: +145
  • TOR Moneyline: -165
  • Over/Under: 9
  • TEX last 10: N/A
  • TOR last 10: N/A
  • TEX Starting Pitcher: Jon Gray (8 Wins, 4.59 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 9.48 K/9, 5.14 IPS in Minors)
  • TOR Starting Pitcher: Jose Berrios (12 Wins, 3.52 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 9.56 K/9, 6.00 IPS in 2021)
  • Bullpen ERAs: N/A
  • The pick: Over 9 Runs
  • Why?: We have an offense-friendly hitting environment, two teams with big-time hitters in their lineups, and two pitchers that are solid are prone to have some rough starts. Add to that a Rangers bullpen that is filled with question marks and a Blue Jays bullpen that may be without closer Jordan Romano due to an ankle injury suffered while walking his dog. All of which makes me think we have a good shot to hit the over here.

Cincinnati Reds @ Atlanta Braves, 7:20 p.m. ET

  • Run Line: ATL -1.5
  • CIN Moneyline: +165
  • ATL Moneyline: -195
  • Over/Under: 9
  • CIN last 10: N/A
  • ATL last 10: N/A
  • CIN Starting Pitcher: Reiver Sanmartin (10 Wins, 3.32 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 10.0 K/9, 5.26 IPS in Minors)
  • ATL Starting Pitcher: Charlie Morton (14 Wins, 3.34 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 10.47 K/9, 5.61 IPS in 2021)
  • Bullpen ERAs: N/A
  • The pick: Under 9 Runs
  • Why?: Last year, the Braves were not a great team versus left-handed pitching, and so I expect that to continue without Acuña in the lineup. Sanmartin is not a dominant arm, but he induces a fair amount of groundballs and soft contact, so I think he can keep the Braves bats at bay a bit, and I really like this Reds bullpen. I also am a fan of Charlie Morton and the entire Braves bullpen. As a result, I don’t think we’re going to see a lot of runs in this one.

Houston Astros @ Los Angeles Angels, 9:38 p.m. ET

  • Run Line: LAA -1.5
  • HOU Moneyline: +100
  • LAA Moneyline: -120
  • Over/Under: 9
  • HOU last 10: N/A
  • LAA last 10: N/A
  • HOU Starting Pitcher: Jake Odorizzi (6 Wins, 4.21 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 7.82 K/9, 4.53 IPS in 2021)
  • LAA Starting Pitcher: Reid Detmers (3 Wins, 3.19 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 15.77 K/9, 4.43 IPS in Minors)
  • Bullpen ERAs: N/A
  • The pick: Shohei Ohtani to Hit a Home Run (+165)
  • Why?: Let’s have some fun with this one. We all know the kind of power that Ohtani has, and Jake Odorizzi really hasn’t been an arm we worry about for the last three years, or maybe really even ever. I think one or two Angels are going deep tonight, so let’s lay the money on Ohtani, who is the most likely. If you’re not inclined to go this route, you can bet Ohtani over 0.5 total hits and just assume one of his at-bats leads to a knock.

 

San Diego Padres @ Arizona Diamondbacks, 9:40 p.m. ET

  • Run Line: SD -1.5
  • SD Moneyline: -140
  • ARI Moneyline: +120
  • Over/Under: 9
  • SD last 10: N/A
  • ARI last 10: N/A
  • SD Starting Pitcher: Sean Manaea (11 Wins, 3.91 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 9.74 K/9, 5.59 IPS in 2021)
  • ARI Starting Pitcher: Merrill Kelly (7 Wins, 4.44 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 7.41 K/9, 5.85 IPS in 2021)
  • Bullpen ERAs: N/A
  • The pick: Padres Moneyline (-145)
  • Why?: Well, that changed in a hurry for the Padres. After Darvish allowed no hits through six innings, the Padres took a 2-0 lead into the 9th before watching the bullpen unravel and Seth Beer hit a walk-off home run. I think the Pads bounceback tonight. Merrill Kelly is better than people think, so I’m not sure about the over or the Padres covering the spread, so we’ll just go straight Moneyline here.

For all daily betting information, make sure to visit DraftKings Sportsbook

Parlay of the Day

We’re gonna go with a player prop parlay today:

Rodriguez over 4.5 strikeouts + Tony Kemp over 0.5 total bases + Shohei Ohtani over 0.5 HR 

Odds: +580 so $10 pays out $68.04

Mar 26, 2022; Phoenix, Arizona, USA; Los Angeles Angels designated hitter Shohei Ohtani (17) hits a lead off home run against the Chicago White Sox in the first inning during a spring training game at Camelback Ranch-Glendale. Mandatory Credit: Rick Scuteri-USA TODAY Sports

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