Duke vs. North Carolina: 2022 NCAA Tournament Final Four Odds, How to Watch, More

NCAA Basketball: NCAA Tournament West Regional-Texas Tech vs Duke
Mar 24, 2022; San Francisco, CA, USA; Duke Blue Devils guard Jeremy Roach (3) and forward Paolo Banchero (5) and center Mark Williams (15) reacts after a play against the Texas Tech Red Raiders during the second half in the semifinals of the West regional of the men’s college basketball NCAA Tournament at Chase Center. The Duke Blue Devils won 78-73. Mandatory Credit: Kelley L Cox-USA TODAY Sports

2022 NCAA Tournament Final Four: Duke Blue Devils vs. North Carolina Tar Heels

How to Watch:

  • Date: Saturday, April 2
  • Time: 8:49 p.m. ET
  • Location: Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, LA
  • TV: TBS
  • Live Stream: NCAA.com


Tale of the Tape:

ACC Conference ACC
32-6 Record 28-9
80.1 (9th) Points Per Game 78.6 (28th)
67.4 Points Allowed Per Game 68.1
0.6147 (16th) RPI 0.593 (35th)
50th Strength of Schedule 28th
At-Large Bid Bid At-Large Bid


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Duke leaders:

Mar 20, 2022; Greenville, SC, USA; Blue Devils forward Paolo Banchero (5) carries the ball against the Michigan State Spartans in the second half during the second round of the 2022 NCAA Tournament at Bon Secours Wellness Arena. Mandatory Credit: Jim Dedmon-USA TODAY Sports
  • Paolo Banchero, G, FR: 17.1 PPG, 7.7 RPG, 3.2 ASG, 1.1 SPG, 47.8% FG
  • Wendell Moore Jr., G/F, JR: 13.5 PPG, 5.2 RPG, 4.4 APG, 1.4 SPG, 41.1% 3PT


North Carolina leaders:

Mar 27, 2022; Philadelphia, PA, USA; Tar Heels forward Armando Bacot (5) blocks a shot by North Carolina Tar Heels guard D’Marco Dunn (11) during the second half in the finals of the East regional of the men’s college basketball NCAA Tournament at Wells Fargo Center. Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports
  • Armando Bacot, F, JR: 16.5 PPG, 12.8 RPG, 1.7 BPG, 58.6% FG
  • Caleb Love, G, SO: 15.7 PPG, 3.4 RPG, 3.7 APG, 1.1 SPG, 37.1% 3PT


Odds, Lines, and Past Performance:

  • Spread: Duke -4
  • Duke Moneyline: -190
  • UNC Moneyline: +160
  • Over/Under: 151
  • Over/Under Record: DUKE 21-16-1, UNC 21-16
  • Over/Under Trends: Three of UNC’s last five games have gone under this total. Three of Duke’s last five have also gone under 151 with one push.
  • ATS Record: DUKE 20-16-2, UNC 2o-16-1


The Pick

  • We all know the storyline here. This is the first time these storied rivals have ever met in the NCAA tournament and it’s happening in Coach Krzyzewski’s final season at the helm at Duke. The Blue Devils will also be looking for revenge after the Tar Heels ruined Coach K’s final home game by beating Duke 94-81 in the regular season. As a result, this should be one of the most intense games in recent memory.
  • That big moment could be exactly what Tar Heels’ guard Caleb Love wants after he scored 30 points in the Sweet 16 game against UCLA, including two clutch threes late in the 2nd half to propel the underdog Tar Heels to victory. Love has averaged 18 points per game in the NCAA Tournament on 37.5% from three but has shot only 38.7% from the field overall.
  • Despite the focus on Love and Armando Bacot (16.5 ppg and 16 rpg in the tournament), the true star for the Tar Heels has been Brady Manek. The senior is the leading scorer remaining in the NCAA tournament, averaging 21.5 points per game on 57.7% shooting and 47.1% from three. If he continues to shoot at that rate, it’s going to be really hard to stop this team. It could be particularly challenging for the Blue Devils, who are the worst remaining defense left in the tournament, according to KenPom; although, they are still the 45th-most efficient defense in the country.
  • The Blue Devils will need to win behind their 1st-ranked offense, which has been led in the tournament, and really all season by Banchero, who is averaging 18.5 points on 51% from the field and 53.3% from three during the tournament.
  • The team will also need a big game from center Mark Williams because scoring inside on Bacot can be tough. Williams is the Blue Devils’ second-leading scorer in the tournament with 14.5 points per game on 80.6% from the field. He also leads the Blue Devils with 8.8 rebounds per game in the tournament and an impressive 4 blocks per game, which should be helpful against Bacot. However, the rebounding numbers are a far cry from the massive numbers Bacot is putting up, and the Blue Devils will need a full team effort if they hope to keep up with the Tar Heels on the glass.
  • The Tar Heels will want to play fast, ranking 39th in adjusted tempo to the Blue Devils’ 170th, so if the game is as fast and high-scoring as the regular season final is, that will favor the underdog here. The Blue Devils will want to keep the game more methodically paced and use their more efficient offense; however, the stakes of the game and the likely energy that will come along with it could make slow and efficient harder to achieve.

For more 2022 NCAA Tournament coverage, visit TailgateSports.com